Photo: Jared C. Tilton / Getty Images Sport / Getty Images
The Miami Heat are 6-point underdogs for a play-in game against the Charlotte Hornets at Spectrum Center on Tuesday, tipping off at 7:30 p.m. ET on Amazon Prime Video.
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Heat vs. Hornets Predictions for Tuesday
Our computer projection model for this encounter predicts a final tally of Hornets 120, Heat 113.
- Moneyline Pick: Hornets (-243)
- Total Pick: Over 230 (computer predicts 233.3 points)
- Pick ATS: Hornets (-6)
Recent Heat vs. Hornets Matchups
| Date | Favorite | Spread | Total | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3/17/2026 | Hornets | -5.5 | 237.5 | -204 | +168 | 136-106 CHA |
| 3/6/2026 | Hornets | -7.5 | 229.5 | -301 | +241 | 128-120 MIA |
| 11/7/2025 | Heat | -7.5 | 235.5 | -260 | +212 | 126-108 MIA |
| 10/28/2025 | Heat | -5.5 | 241 | -193 | +161 | 144-117 MIA |
| 3/23/2025 | Heat | -7.5 | 214.5 | -292 | +236 | 122-105 MIA |
| 3/10/2025 | Heat | -9.5 | 217 | -420 | +326 | 105-102 CHA |
| 11/27/2024 | Heat | -4 | 218.5 | -172 | +144 | 98-94 MIA |
| 10/26/2024 | Heat | -5.5 | 223 | -246 | +199 | 114-106 MIA |
Hornets 2025-26 Betting Trends
- Charlotte's ATS record is 49-32-1 this season.
- The Hornets are 10-5-1 against the spread when favored by 6 points or more this season.
- A total of 32 of Charlotte's 82 games with a set total have hit the over (39%).
- This season, the Hornets have won 28 out of the 36 games, or 77.8%, in which they've been favored.
- Charlotte has a record of 14-2, a 87.5% win rate, when it's favored by -243 or more by sportsbooks this season.
Heat 2025-26 Betting Trends
- Miami is 46-35-1 against the spread this season.
- The Heat have an 8-3-1 record against the spread in games they were an underdog by 6 points or more this season.
- Miami's games have hit the over 46 out of 82 times (56.1%).
- The Heat have been the underdog on the moneyline 42 total times this season. They've gone 18-24 in those games.
- When playing as a moneyline underdog with odds of +199 or longer, Miami has gone 4-7 (36.4%).
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Heat vs. Hornets Injury Report
Hornets
Hornets:
PJ Hall: Day-To-Day (Ankle)
Heat
Heat:
Nikola Jovic: Out (Ankle),
Pelle Larsson: Questionable (Leg),
Dru Smith: Out (Foot)
Heat vs. Hornets Game Time and TV Channel
- Game day: Tuesday, April 14, 2026
- Game time: 7:30 p.m. ET
- TV channel: Amazon Prime Video
- Location: Charlotte, North Carolina
- Arena: Spectrum Center
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